The draft, just introduced for public comment before it becomes final, is the latest iteration of a major series of reports requested by Congress on the effects of climate change in the United States. Despite the clear environmental threats, people still tend to believe climate change is something “far away in time and space,” according to the Yale Program on Climate Change … For individual extreme weather events or other disasters it can be difficult to fully separate the effects of global warming from those of natural climate variability and other factors. A half-billion people already live in places turning into desert, and soil is being lost between 10 and 100 times faster than it is forming, according to … In the past, scientists had to rely on tide gauges. Sign up here for Climate Fwd:, our email newsletter. Climate Change Is Accelerating, Bringing World ‘Dangerously Close’ to Irreversible Change. By 2016 the permafrost had already thawed at depths not expected until 2090 under a model of “moderate” global warming. Permanently frozen ground, or permafrost, is thawing more rapidly, threatening the release of large amounts of long-stored carbon that could in turn make warming even worse, in what scientists call a climate feedback loop. The New York Times Magazine has tried to make the release of its new article, which details a decade of climate history, as momentous as possible. A majority of registered voters of both parties in the United States support initiatives to fight climate change, including many that are outlined in the climate plans announced by President-elect Joseph R. Biden Jr., according to a new survey. The study estimated that the acceleration would result in sea level rise by the end of this century of 65 centimeters, or about 25 inches, which is more than double the rise if the rate had remained constant. Some of the signature initiatives of the Trump administration proved to be deeply unpopular with the public, especially the effort to promote drilling in the Arctic National Wildlife Refuge in Alaska: Only 28 percent of voters favored it. Just 40 percent supported drilling for and mining fossil fuels on public lands, and 47 percent supported expanding U.S. offshore oil and natural gas drilling. “We are in a fundamentally different political climate today than when we lived in the 1980s and ’90s,” he said. The #Frankenstorm in Climate Context. Using satellite data, a 2018 study found that global sea level rise is now about 4.5 millimeters a year, or a little less than one-fifth of an inch. “And we definitely expect an acceleration in mass loss of the West Antarctic ice sheet.” While the West Antarctic sheet currently contributes a small amount to sea level rise, eventually it could contribute as much as Greenland, he said. As negotiators headed to Copenhagen in December 2009 to forge a global climate pact, concerned U.S. business leaders and liberal luminaries took out a full-page ad in the New York Times … “It’s more urgent than ever to proceed with mitigation.”. At the Department of Health and Human Services, new efforts are under way to understand what effects a changing climate could have on infectious diseases, allergies, air pollution and so on. The records extend to the oceans as well, which absorb about 90 percent of the excess heat retained by Earth as a result of increased greenhouse gases. As carbon dioxide and other greenhouse gases build up in the atmosphere, they trap more of the heat that radiates from Earth’s surface as it absorbs sunlight. Rivulets of meltwater cleaving the Greenland ice sheet near Ilulissat in August. This makes it a huge storehouse of carbon: By some estimates, Arctic permafrost contains about twice as much carbon as is currently in the atmosphere. Among these, the researchers said, were the collapse of at least part of the West Antarctic ice sheet — which itself could eventually raise sea levels by four feet or more — or the loss of the Amazon rainforest. John Branch, a Pulitzer-prize winning New York Times journalist, recently explored this issue in an article titled “They’re among the world’s oldest living things. Effects like loss of sea ice, more severe heat waves and changes in rainfall patterns were long predicted by scientists and described in reports like those of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change and, in the United States, the National Climate Assessments produced by federal researchers. The survey of 1,036 registered voters was conducted between Dec. 3 and Dec. 16 and has a margin of error of three percentage points. Search. And the second half of the decade was much warmer than the first, with global temperatures averaged over the second half about 0.2 degree Celsius (about 0.4 degree Fahrenheit) higher. “So much of what we’re seeing is exactly consistent with what’s expected from climate change,” said Philip B. Duffy, a physicist and president of the Woods Hole Research Center, which studies the environment. Climate Change Is Accelerating, Bringing World ‘Dangerously Close’ to Irreversible Change - The New York Times Climate | Climate Change Is Accelerating… Even the ground itself is warming faster. The New York Times Magazine is hyping a massive new story claiming that the period from 1979 to 1989 was “The decade we almost stopped climate change.” But the just-released, roughly 30,000 word article by Nathaniel Rich is already being widely criticized by leading scientists, historians, and climate experts. While the permafrost at her study sites contains little organic matter, much of the Arctic’s permafrost contains large amounts of dead vegetation built up over hundreds or thousands of years. Adaptation to Climate Change - How New York is strengthening its resiliency to extreme events and preparing to cope with changing conditions across the state. “Things are getting worse,” said Petteri Taalas, Secretary General of the World Meteorological Organization, which on Tuesday issued its annual state of the global climate report, concluding a decade of what it called exceptional global heat. The New York Times has today launched “The Greenhouse”, a free five-part digital event series that invites participants to learn about climate change and the challenges facing our planet from the comfort of their own homes throughout the month of April.. “It takes a strong government to fix these problems.”, Survey Finds Majority of Voters Support Initiatives to Fight Climate Change. This survey suggests that Americans accept the idea that “the free market alone is not going to solve people’s problems,” he said. If you want to see the Climate Clock in New York’s Union Square, this weekend is your last chance. Scores of climate research instruments on a hilltop at research center near Lamont, Okla., track clouds and related factors like the amount of light and heat bouncing from the ground back to space. The amount of Arctic sea ice has declined so rapidly that the region may see ice-free summers by the 2030s. When it thaws, the organic matter begins to decompose, and the carbon enters the atmosphere as methane or carbon dioxide, adding to warming. It has devoted the entire new … The same percentage said they supported a jobs program that would shut down the thousands of abandoned oil and gas wells around the nation, which pollute water and leak methane, a potent greenhouse gas. The Green New Deal, a package of progressive proposals for fighting climate change that has been heavily attacked by conservatives, got the support of 66 percent of those polled, a lower figure than many of the specific proposals discussed in the survey. New research on the connection between climate change and winter drownings has found that reported drowning deaths are increasing exponentially in areas with warmer winters. Burnt farms in Piseux, northwest France, in July during a heat wave. Since the rise of industry in the second half of the 19th century, when widespread emissions of greenhouse gases began, the world has warmed by about 1.1 degrees Celsius. Average ocean temperatures so far this year exceed those of 2018, which were records, the report said. Record flooding in Europe and Africa. New York Times blog. “No one is terribly sure about what will happen by 2100,” Dr. Nerem said. As with most of the projected effects of climate change, there is a high level of uncertainty about future sea levels. A whirlwind of hot ash and embers tore through the Cave Fire in Santa Barbara, Calif., last month. While 93 percent of liberal Democrats said they thought developing sources of clean energy should be a high or very high priority for the president and Congress, just 32 percent of conservative Republicans did; among all Republicans, however, the figure was 43 percent — and 58 percent among liberal and moderate Republicans. In the Arctic, ground can be permanently frozen from near the surface to several thousand feet deep. The societal toll is accelerating, too, United Nations Secretary General António Guterres said in Madrid before the opening this week of the U.N.’s annual climate conference. Climate Change. The percentage of liberal Democrats who said that global warming should be a high or very high priority stood at 86 percent; among conservative Republicans, the figure was just 12 percent, and among all Republicans, that figure was closer to 23 percent. Impacts of Climate Change in New York - Information on climate change impacts, including sea-level rise and health, in New York. Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Sea level readings, for example, are now far more extensive, frequent and precise thanks to satellite sensors in use for the last quarter-century. Overall this year, Greenland had a net ice loss of about 350 billion tons, about 20 percent more than the average in recent years and enough to add one millimeter to sea levels by itself. Claim: A 1922 newspaper article reported that "radical change in climatic conditions" was melting Arctic ice and disrupting wildlife. “We see warming across the board, and generally the rate of warming is increasing,” Dr. Farquharson said. Climate change and its effects are accelerating, with climate related disasters piling up, season after season. A survey carried out after the November election found that 66 percent of respondents said that developing sources of clean energy should be a high or very high priority. As for the Paris climate agreement, which Mr. Trump abandoned with great fanfare, 75 percent of American voters said they wanted the nation back in. “These results show there’s very strong public support for bold, ambitious action on climate change and clean energy,” said Anthony Leiserowitz, who heads the Yale program. But, in some ways, New York’s position near the vanguard in such work only serves to underscore the monumental task that remains. The W.M.O.’s state of the global climate report, released at the Madrid talks, said that this decade will almost certainly be the warmest decade on record. At the root of the changes is the basic process of global warming. Eight in 10 supported achieving those ends by providing tax breaks to people who buy electric vehicles or solar panels, and by investing in renewable energy research. I f the day ends in a y, the New York Times will run at least one breathless, apocalyptic story about how man-made climate change is destroying the planet and the future of our children. With assistance from the Centers for Disease Control’s Climate-Ready States and Cities Initiative, a group of New York State agencies is studying emerging climate-related threats to public health. An incentive program promoting renewable energy might gain support from conservatives seeking energy independence or economic development, Dr. Leiserowitz, said, even if they may not be as deeply concerned about addressing climate change. Want climate news in your inbox? Sea-level Rise Climate change is estimated to cause the sea level along the coast of New York City to rise anywhere from one to three and a half feet by 2080 at a cost of billions of dollars in lost property and assets. “There are many roads to Damascus,” he said. This article, the second in a series on global migration caused by climate change, is a result of a partnership between ProPublica and The New … The New York Times has identified climate change as a contributing factor in the city's increasing level of rat infestation, stating that " [m]ilder winters — the result of climate change — make it easier for rats to survive and reproduce". Complete melting would take many centuries, but melting is speeding up on the Greenland sheet, which currently contributes about two-thirds of a millimeter to sea level rise annually, and on much of the West Antarctic sheet. Amid the long term increase in ice-sheet melting there have been some exceptional periods, including this summer in Greenland, when heat from Europe spread north, resulting in temperatures as much as 15 degrees Fahrenheit above normal. Acceleration of some elements of climate change has been expected, and has now been detected thanks to improvements in measurements. By 2070, … The rate is increasing by about a 10th of a millimeter a year. The 2015 Paris agreement called for countries to pursue efforts to limit warming this century to 2 degrees Celsius (3.6 degrees Fahrenheit) above preindustrial levels, with an even stricter target of 1.5 degrees Celsius. Josh Haner/The New York Times A divide between science and public policy? The survey, which was conducted after the presidential election, suggests that a majority of Americans in both parties want a government that deals forcefully with climate change instead of denying its urgency — or denying that it exists. Sea level rise results from a combination of melting glaciers and ice sheets, and the thermal expansion of seawater as ocean temperatures rise. Climate change is an urgent pressing deadly issue. A recent analysis by Dr. Tedesco and a colleague showed that a rare combination of atmospheric conditions, related to instability of the polar jet stream that encircles Earth at high northern latitudes, led to this summer’s melting. “The only solution is to get rid of fossil fuels in power production, industry and transportation,” he said. But reducing greenhouse gas emissions to fight climate change will require drastic measures, Dr. Taalas said. The New York Times is discontinuing the Green blog but plans to press on with aggressive energy and environment coverage. And while Mr. Trump heralded his aggressive efforts to relax energy efficiency standards for home appliances like dishwashers and light bulbs, 83 percent of the voters in the survey said they supported more energy-efficient appliances. Another slightly less aggressive benchmark from the U.N.'s Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) says that human-caused greenhouse gas emissions must be reduced … In a recent commentary in the journal Nature, scientists from the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research in Germany and other institutions warned that the acceleration of ice loss and other effects of climate change have brought the world “dangerously close” to abrupt and irreversible changes, or tipping points. The installation will run only through the end of Climate Week on Sunday, September 27. Warming in the Far North affects more than ice. Named for its high-pitched calls, a familiar evening serenade, the coquí is the generic name for some 14 species of frog, some only half an inch long, that long inhabited the island archipelago. In June 2019 NYC made a climate emergency declaration. Storm surges affecting shoreline properties will also increase by … To judge from the draft of a new report issued by a federal advisory committee, that hesitation may soon fall by the wayside. Louise Farquharson, a geologist and researcher at the University of Alaska-Fairbanks, studies the effect of climate change on permafrost. More devastating fires in California. “We knew the rate of sea level rise was increasing, but we had difficulty detecting that,” said Steven Nerem, a University of Colorado researcher and lead author of the study. Dr. Leiserowitz said that the support for government action to get the nation moving toward a clean-energy future, even among conservative Republicans, showed a shift in American political thinking. The Baffling Nexus of Climate Change and Health - The New York Times During the campaign, Mr. Biden spoke often about how his proposals would generate jobs, and the survey indicates broad support for that idea, and not just in the jobs that would come with creating renewable energy. “Climate change plays a role in this upward trend of losses,” said Ernst Rauch, chief climate scientist at Munich Re, in an interview with The New York Times. Filling water buckets from a government water pump in the drought-ravaged Lamhata village in Uttar Pradesh, India, earlier this year. “In our view, the consideration of tipping points helps to define that we are in a climate emergency,” they wrote. “For most people, until recently, climate change has been an abstract issue,” he said. The New York Times is discontinuing the Green blog but plans to press on with aggressive energy and environment coverage. “If the ice sheets really start to go, things could change dramatically.”. The climate crisis is killing them.” After flattening between 2014 and 2016, annual emissions from burning fossil fuels for energy have risen again. Mr. Biden has declined to support the Green New Deal specifically, though his campaign called it a “crucial framework” for climate action. Advocates for action on climate change in Puerto Rico have a mascot: the coquí, a tiny tree frog. Some of the policies that appear in the survey echo Mr. Biden’s campaign points closely, including support among 78 percent of those surveyed for setting stronger vehicle fuel efficiency standards and 67 percent support for installing 500,000 electric vehicle charging stations across the United States by 2030. Greenland and Antarctica hold enough ice to raise seas by about 220 feet if it all melted. In the survey, published Friday by the Yale Program on Climate Change Communication and the George Mason University Center for Climate Change Communication, 53 percent of registered voters said that global warming should be a high or very high priority for the president and Congress, and 66 percent said that developing sources of clean energy should be a high or very high priority. “All the time we’re breaking records in temperatures,” Dr. Taalas said. Joshua trees, redwoods and giant sequoias are some of California’s most iconic trees, and all three have been deeply impacted by climate change and wildfires. Heat waves in Europe in June and July, extreme rainfall in Texas during Tropical Storm Imelda in September, the drought that precipitated the “Day Zero” water crisis in Cape Town in 2018 are among many events shown to have been made more likely, more intense, or both, by climate change. A new paper finds an overwhelming consensus about climate change among scientists actively working in the field. Seas are warming and rising faster, putting more cities at risk of tidal flooding or worse. Flooding in Mogadishu, Somalia, in October. “Climate-related natural disasters are becoming more frequent, more deadly, more destructive, with growing human and financial costs,” he said. The fact that interest in climate issues is so strong, considering the proliferation of crises that include the coronavirus pandemic and its attendant economic woes, and the months of unrest over racism, is impressive, Dr. Leiserowitz said. Glaciers are melting at a pace many researchers did not expect for decades. “Overall we do not expect Greenland to slow down,” he said. That suggests an opening for bipartisan legislation backed by lawmakers’ constituents. Persistent drought in the Southwest. “Climate change plays a role in this upward trend of losses,” Ernst Rauch, the chief climate scientist at Munich Re, said in an interview. In part it might be attributed to increased media coverage and events like the very active wildfire and hurricane seasons last year. Yet a growing number of studies have shown the influence of global warming in many disasters. Bathing in a fountain in St. Petersburg, Russia, during unseasonably hot temperatures in July. From left, an electric car charging station at a Walgreens in Sacramento; porcupine caribou crossing the Niguanak River in the Arctic National Wildlife Refuge in Alaska; and a wind turbine near Shenandoah, Pa. From left, Max Whittaker for The New York Times; Kenneth Whitten/Alaska Stock/Design Pics Inc., via Alamy; Brandon Thibodeaux for The New York Times, the climate plans announced by President-elect. “But the impact varies significantly.”. For two years The New York Times and ProPublica have been reporting on the great global climate migration that is already underway. The annual average temperature statewide has risen about 2.4°F since 1970. Melting permafrost threatening a home in Kivalina, Alaska, a coastal village 83 miles above the Arctic Circle. But the United States under President Trump is leaving the agreement, and a United Nations report last month suggested that even if countries meet their pledges to cut emissions, and many are far off track, warming would be more than twice the 1.5-degree target. A new survey finds a strong majority of Republicans and conservative independent voters seek action on climate and non-polluting energy sources. A heat wave, of all things, in Greenland. Survey Finds Most Republicans Seek Action on Climate Change - The New York Times The nation is still divided politically, of course, with higher levels of support for some of the initiatives among Democrats than Republicans. But how fast temperatures will continue to increase, and how much worse things may get, depends in large part on whether the world reins in greenhouse gas emissions, and by how much. Her recent research found rapid thawing of permafrost high in the Canadian Arctic, where there is little surface vegetation to insulate the frozen ground. Of those polled, 83 percent said they supported creating a jobs program that would hire unemployed coal workers, shut down old coal mines safely, and restore the natural landscape. Warming can make wildfires worse, for example — it makes vegetation drier and more combustible — but forest management practices, as well as decisions about where to build, also affect the degree of devastation. A floating iceberg in Disko Bay in Ilulissat, Greenland, in August. Some scientists have suggested that this jet stream instability, or wobbling, is a result of climate change, although the idea is not completely accepted. 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